I'd bet you dollars to doughnuts that he'll be late.
Я держу пари с тобой, что он опоздает.
Definitions
To express strong confidence or certainty that something will happen or is true, often by making a bet where the odds are heavily in one's favor. The phrase implies that the speaker is so sure of the outcome that they would risk something valuable (dollars) against something of little value (doughnuts).